MEDORIANSPORTs PICK(football betting forcasting)

First topic message reminder :

I will use this medium to educate  you guys  (us) about soccer punting (and other sports) and also little explanation about punting terminology also free Premium pick from me, I will also recommend one Naija Sportbook to be used…
The Sportbook I will used here called MERRYBET (www.merrybet.com) For Top  up (loading of money into ur account) just P.M me

U can as well like (follow) me on facebook, through my fan page

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For Previous record, you can check me here:

http://nairabetforum.com/index.php?topic=3768.75

BRAZIL VS COLOMBIA

BRAZIL
W18 D6 L1 last 25—only loss v SUI in August 2013.
W11 D2 last 13 and 7/11 wins 'to nil'.
W42 D19 last 61 home competitive games since 1975
7 of 11 goals in this World Cup 2014 come before HT.
15/18 wins since Luis Felipe Scolari's return have been by 2+
W13 D2 L1 in last 16 World Cup games when scoring first.
0/8 CS in World Cup quarter-finals.
Lost at this stage in last 2 World Cups but only L2/21 in World Cup.
W2 D5 L2 last 9 finals matches in World Cup/Copa America combined.
W8 D2 L1 of last 11 World Cup games v South Americans.

COLOMBIA
W4/11 knockout matches.
W4/4 at World Cup, second top scorers (11), leaked joint-fewest (2).
W7 D4 last 11 since L2-0 v URU in September 2013.
W17 D7 L3 under Jose Pekerman— losing all 3 when failing to score.
W5 on spin scoring 2+ in last 7.
W18 of their last 20 when scoring.
Netted in 14/15 now. Gone 02.5 in 5/6 and kept 5/9 CS. 7/16 qualifiers saw 02.5 and 3/4 at World Cup gone 02.5. 6/16 qualifiers BTTS + 2/4 here.
10 last 13 World Cup goals have come after HT. Level or trailing in 10/16 qualifiers HT. (Scored 19 of 27 after HT).
Scored 7/11 after HT at World Cup Kept CS in 6/8 knockout games now (W5/.
W5 L2 knockout games in 90 mins. 5 wins were to nil. Have won more World Cup games in Brazil (4) than in previous 13 tournament games combined.
COL failed to net in 9/12v BRA.
BRA not beaten COL for 11 years.
Last 4 all been drawn inc 3 0-0 draws.
Since 2002,10 teams have progressed via extra-time or pens. 9 were eliminated in the next round.

Verdict:
PICK: COLOMBIA HANDICAP +1 @ 1.95…….Stake one unit
Pick: Over 2.5 @ 2.05……….Stake One Unit
GL

LOST 2 POINTS TODAYS...


World Cup profit So Far = 24.93pts

5/7/2014

Argentina vs Belgium

Pick: 0/0(Draw in Half Time/Draw in Full Time) @ 5.29.....Stake Half Unit

Pick: 0/1(Draw in Half Time/ Argentina in Full Time) @ 4.80.....Hal unit

Pick: Argentina to win.......@1.85 ......stake one unit

GL

Holland vs Costal Rica
Pick: Holland -1.0 Handicap @ 2.50....Stake 2pts
GL

Another lost night, Lost 2 points
Waoo!, This Costa Rica Defense is Doro Wall.....

World Cup Profit so far : 22.93pts

8/7/2014

Hi,

Athlone vs Dunde United (Club Friendly)
Athlone Town take a break from their disastrous league campaign today to welcome Dundee United, the Scottish outfit finished 4th last season and will look to kick off their pre-season build up with a win here today. Athlone manager Keith Long will aim to provide playing time to a mixture of key and reserve players today ahead of their league fixture with Limerick at the weekend. The team sheet for Dundee lists pretty much their entire starting XI used in the league campaign with the exception of young prospect Ryan Gauld who transferred to Sporting Lisbon last week. Scottish internationals Gary Mackay-Steven and Andy Robertson will also feature. Dundee are just a class above and with a full strength team they should dominate the fixture.
Pick: Dunde United to win

Tallinna FC Levadia vs SP La Fiorita (UEFA Champions League Qualification)

Levadia completely dominated the 1st leg and while they were expected to net a handful of goals they were actually very lucky to leave with a slender 1-0 win, the goal coming in the final seconds of the game. A replay of that match could easily see Levadia win by 4 or more and today we have this and it’s at home! The hosts are huge favourites to progress and the odds on a half time victory are fairly generous. Injuries ravaged the squad last week and the slim lead will relieve pressure, the return of key playersd and striker Omar Elhussieny will only boost our chances of winning.
Pick: Levadia to win First Half

Brazil vs Germany (World Cup)

I can't believe this, this is just 2nd meeting in world cup final btw both teams despict the fact that either one of the team never miss Knock Out stage of the this competition since 1934

Germany have a full squad to choose from, with the public percentage suggests this is an even contest however Brazil will miss Neymar & Thiago Silva, I think Luiz will lose his composure without Silva's flamboyant presence.

The duration of this match up I find it very likely Luiz & his defensive compatriots to make a mistake or two, (Germans only need a chance) years after years Germany have been known to bottle (choke) within these stages, I think labels are made to be proved wrong.

Impressive experience by Germany making four Semis in a row, most of the football fans including gamblers have always had a niggling feel Brazil might just fall short, home advantage is an pipe dream, wipe away the notion of (fix this, fix that) if you judge this contest on variables consisting of only skills/experience/possession/tempo on this pitch there is only one winner and that is GERMANY.

Pick: Germany Handicap (+1)

Final Verdict:

Treble @ 2.30..........................Stake 2 units

GL

Great job bro

10-7-2014

Hi,


1)

IFK Gothenburg to win, Game: UEFA Europa League - 6:00pm KO (Away)

Stjarnan (DRAW NO BET), Game: UEFA Europa League - 6:45pm KO (Home)

Thor v KR Reykjavik (OVER 2.5 GOALS)...Iceland


Treble @ 2.70...............Stake one unit (N2000)


2)

Shakhter Karagandy (WIN) 1.30 PM, UEFA Europa League

FC Astana (HANDICAP -1 ) 2.00 PM, UEFA Europa League

Aberdeen (WIN) 5.30 PM, UEFA Europa League

Treble @ 2.67.................Stake One n Half unit (N1500)



3) Botev Plovdiv (HANDICAP -1) 7.30 PM, UEFA Europa League

Albirex Niigata v Police SA (OVER 2.5 GOALS) 1.00 PM ....Singapore Cup

Tampines Rovers v Warriors FC (OVER 2.5 GOALS) 1.00 PM...Singapore Cup

Treble @ 3.10............Stake One n Half unit (N1500)


GL

11-07-2014


Hi,


Still one more game (postpone) from yesterday which delay result


1.
SKU Amstetten - SK Rapid Vienna, .......... Austria

Celtic v Dukla Praha (OVER 2.5 GOALS).......Friendly

Wolverhampton Wanderers (DRAW NO BET)...........Friendly


Treble @ 2.40......................Stake one unit (N2000)




2)
Rapid Vienna (WIN) 6.30 PM.... Austria

SCR Altach ( handicap +1) 6.00 PM.......Austria

Ujpest v Debreceni VSC (ALTERNATIVE GOAL LINE OVER 1.5) 7.30 PM......Hungary / Super Cup


Treble @ 1.85...........Stake one unit (N2000)

GL

We they follow boss!

Funny result, lost 2 out of 2

Still have one ticket undecided since yesterday

lawalahmed wrote:

10-7-2014

Hi,


1)

IFK Gothenburg to win, Game: UEFA Europa League - 6:00pm KO (Away)

Stjarnan (DRAW NO BET),  Game: UEFA Europa League - 6:45pm KO (Home)

Thor v KR Reykjavik (OVER 2.5 GOALS)...Iceland


Treble @ 2.70...............Stake one unit (N2000)


2)

Shakhter Karagandy (WIN) 1.30 PM, UEFA Europa League

FC Astana (HANDICAP -1 ) 2.00 PM, UEFA Europa League

Aberdeen (WIN) 5.30 PM, UEFA Europa League

Treble @ 2.67.................Stake One n Half unit (N1500) WON



3) Botev Plovdiv (HANDICAP -1) 7.30 PM, UEFA Europa League

Albirex Niigata v Police SA (OVER 2.5 GOALS) 1.00 PM ....Singapore Cup

Tampines Rovers v Warriors FC (OVER 2.5 GOALS) 1.00 PM...Singapore Cup

Treble @ 3.10............Stake One n Half unit (N1500)..WON


GL

Finally, undecided ticket is decided giving us 2 of 3 selection on Thursday with profit of 2.34pts

I don loose 60k

Ashawo wrote:

I don loose 60k

Which game spoil ur ticket ?

I accumulated games and Staked #30,000 in total but only one game cut me off in most slips. I have only one slip left.

Lost slip

bro lawal i like your forecast. though have not played any of your games....but i will like you to be forecasting 2-3 odds every day. as for me i prefare monday to friday......... am a heavy staker..... i will be staking a minimum of 50k. dont worry at the end of the week i will be rewarding you heavily also(hoping there is real profit). thanks

huh

dabel04 wrote:

bro lawal i like your forecast. though have not played any of your games....but i will like you to be forecasting 2-3 odds every day. as for me i prefare monday to friday......... am a heavy staker..... i will be staking a minimum of 50k. dont worry at the end of the week i will be rewarding you heavily also(hoping there is real profit). thanks

Finger cross   

13-7-2014



Hi,



Soccer / Latvia / Virsliga
Skonto Riga vs FK Spartaks....Pick Skonto to win @ 1.65  


Dublin football
UC Dublin vs Sligo Rovers FC, Sligo Rover DNB @ 1.14 with bet365


World Cup
Germany vs Argentina, Pick Germany DNB @ 1.57


Treble @ 2.82.............stake 1units (2000)


GL

Germany

Last 5 World Cup games failed to net, they've lost. Last time they scored in WC and lost was 1994 QF v Bulgaria

W3/7 World Cup finals inc extra-time and penalties but only W1/4 now (1990v ARG)

Not leaked before HT in last 11



Argentina

Only L1/25 now (dead rubber with experimental side v URU)

W18 D9 in the last 27 games when Messi playing for Argentina

W2 World Cup knockout matches in 90 minutes since 1990

W4/5 penalty shootouts at World Cup — lost v GER in 2006



Stastically Verdict:

South American teams have won seven of the nine World Cup finals that they have played against European sides.

Also all world cup tornament hosted in south america continent always win by south america country

Only 3/14 knockout games in 2014 have seen 02.5 with BTTS in 5/14.



Draw/ Draw (Half Time/ Full Time) @ 4.45

Draw / Argentina @ 7.75

Half Time Draw @ 2.0

GL

Oga mi make league start abeg. dis 0ne don eajt our money. we day wait o

Losaries wrote:

Oga mi make league start abeg. dis 0ne don eajt our money. we day wait o

The problem is poor money management bcos so far this week i'm still in green mode bcos i dont know which one will favour my opinion but in long and proper money management we will survive the intensity of the market. i'm still little mile above bookies...

lawalahmed wrote:

13-7-2014



Hi,



Soccer / Latvia / Virsliga
Skonto Riga vs FK Spartaks....Pick Skonto to win @ 1.65  


Dublin football
UC Dublin vs Sligo Rovers FC, Sligo Rover DNB @ 1.14 with bet365


World Cup
Germany vs Argentina, Pick Germany DNB @ 1.57


Treble @ 2.82.............stake 1units (2000)


GL

Lost

lawalahmed wrote:

Germany

Last 5 World Cup games failed to net, they've lost. Last time they scored in WC and lost was 1994 QF v Bulgaria

W3/7 World Cup finals inc extra-time and penalties but only W1/4 now (1990v ARG)

Not leaked before HT in last 11



Argentina

Only L1/25 now (dead rubber with experimental side v URU)

W18 D9 in the last 27 games when Messi playing for Argentina

W2 World Cup knockout matches in 90 minutes since 1990

W4/5 penalty shootouts at World Cup — lost v GER in 2006



Stastically Verdict:

South American teams have won seven of the nine World Cup finals that they have played against European sides.

Also all world cup tornament hosted in south america continent always win by south america country

Only 3/14 knockout games in 2014 have seen 02.5 with BTTS in 5/14.



Draw/ Draw (Half Time/ Full Time) @ 4.45...Won

Draw / Argentina @ 7.75

Half Time Draw @ 2.0....Won

GL

Winner ! WInner !! Chicken Winner   

Today world cup profit is +3.45

Final World Cup Profit  : + 26.38pts!

Oga mi, let me knw ur initial investment b4 world cup start so as to knw lf we make profit or nt. gudnit

I declare unit for world cup which is N2000 (per unit)...

I started posting only world cup pick from June 11 (page 30) on this thread till this present page (page 38)..

Total winning unit is +26.38 (Thank God is not minus)


So if we want to convert it to money = N2000 X 26.38 = N52,760

But if ur units is N5000, ur total winning will be = N5000 x 26.38 = N131,900:00k for just one month.

lawalahmed wrote:

I declare unit for world cup which is N2000 (per unit)...

I started posting only world cup pick from June 11 (page 30) on this thread till this present page (page 38)..

Total winning unit is +26.38 (Thank God is not minus)


So if we want to convert it to money = N2000 X 26.38 = N52,760

But if ur units is N5000, ur total winning will be = N5000 x 26.38 = N131,900:00k for just one month.

wao who say soccer bizness is nt a real bizness. pplis i need to understand dis moneyr tning mgt

Today's Prediction:

1860 Munchen V Borrusia Mongeblach (Yes/GG)
Ipswich V Westham (1 HSH or First Half Most Scoring)
Brondby V Liverpool (+1) to Liverpool
FC Koln.... (Fist Win Fc Koln)
Dundee (Yes/GG)
Braga (Win)
Stuggart (win/draw)

Play wisely qith 100 NGN Stake unit

Hi,

Let do little lecture about some components of Money Management today...


Stake (S)

Definition: The sum of money gambled on the outcome of an event.

In the online world of gambling, stakes are electronically placed on a desired outcome with a second party that has agreed to accept your stake, whether this be a bookmaker or an anonymous person/group in a betting exchange. These ‘adversaries’ are effectively backing with their own money against your selection, hoping to make a profit of your stake if your selection in the event turns out to be wrong.

Once the outcome of the event is decided, stakes are returned to you in full if your bet has won (plus the winnings), or if you lose, the stake is lost and either retained by the bookmaker or, transferred to the winning side in the betting exchange.

Technically speaking, stakes are sureties! This means that they are short-term deposit payments to guarantee that the losing party will honour his debt obligation to the winner of the bet.




Yield (Y)

Definition: Profit/Loss ratio as a function of the total capital employed (total staked)

MS – money staked
ML – money lost (stakes lost)
MW – money won (purely winnings; returned stakes are ‘neutral’, not winnings)
PL – MW minus ML = net profit (or loss); equivalent to your bank growth


Formula Yield:
PL divided by MS = Yield (written as a percentage)

Example: if you staked a total of N760  on your portfolio of bets, and your bank grew by N70 …
70 / 760 = 0.092 = 9.2%

To simplify, the term YIELD means profit, earnings, harvest, income or revenue. It measures betting efficiency against the total turnover. The lower your aversion to risk, the higher your probabilities to win, the smaller your yield will be and vice versa.

Generally speaking and depending upon the strategy employed, a good bettor will yield between 5 and 10 percent profit in the long run. In football betting any yield over 7% is considered to be a very, very good yield.

For example, with an average yield of 7%, a starting bank of N100 , and staking N10  each bet: in order to win N700  you would need to turn over your bank 1,000 times (!), or otherwise staking a total of N10,000  to win N700 .

i trust u oga lecturer. dis is GNS 100: money managemen.t. let continue .....,

How person go fit win 1mil?

Ashawo wrote:

How person go fit win 1mil?

ah Ashawo 4 dis betting bizness

Losaries wrote:

Ashawo wrote:

How person go fit win 1mil?

ah Ashawo 4 dis betting bizness

this season is inevitable

Losaries wrote:

Ashawo wrote:

How person go fit win 1mil?

ah Ashawo 4 dis betting bizness

this season is inevitable

Ashawo wrote:

Losaries wrote:

Ashawo wrote:

How person go fit win 1mil?

ah Ashawo 4 dis betting bizness

this season is inevitable

Thats 2 sure, we cant afford 2 be a losser. let eat dem as we can. gudluck

lol.sport betting is for smart pple and smart be wise dont be too greedy and analysis right.

Its not a matter of being greedy. I must win 1mil

Ashawo wrote:

How person go fit win 1mil?

Is possible my friend, but that is gamble bcos chance of winning even with N100,000 stake is 10% ......

Just keep trying one day might be ur day but keep it in the back of your mind that you are giving your money away to someone that need it more than you

lawalahmed wrote:

Ashawo wrote:

How person go fit win 1mil?

Is possible my friend, but that is gamble bcos chance of winning even with N100,000 stake is 10% ......

Just keep trying one day might be ur day but keep it in the back of your mind that you are giving your money away to someone that need it more than you

I've won even above 100k but that's not my target

Ashawo wrote:

lawalahmed wrote:

Ashawo wrote:

How person go fit win 1mil?

Is possible my friend, but that is gamble bcos chance of winning even with N100,000 stake is 10% ......

Just keep trying one day might be ur day but keep it in the back of your mind that you are giving your money away to someone that need it more than you

I've won even above 100k but that's not my target

Imagine some one Won N653,000 with just N132.!

lawalahmed wrote:

Loading For New Season (2014/2015)..............

Confirm my payment nd credit me. skybank wit 4k. thanks

I need only two sure games today

19/07/2014

Hi,

I Just add another strategy to my spreadsheet, i call it rolling treble....

So what is Rolling Treble ?

Rolling Treble is idea of rolling previous winning to new one or idea of starting all over when losing previous wager.

Let demonstrate the idea below:

Let assume, Man.City is playing today, then we choose them on option of DNB @ odd of 1.25 but they win, which will give us profit of 0.25 so instead of us to cash out but we will not bcos we roll over the initial money and profit to upcoming stake until we turn it 3 times.

My Rolling Treble is based over 3 picks, winning bets roll over to the next bet and profit is cashed out after 3 successful winning bets ....

The idea is to pick 3 short bet with minimum of 1.20 and maximum of 1.50 for 3 successful outing once we lost we start all over again with just one unit from the beginning.


Rolling Treble:

1a. Reid vs Neustadt, Pick Reid DNB @ 1.20......Stake one unit

GL

Good Luck

lawalahmed wrote:

19/07/2014

short bet with minimum of 1.20 and maximum of 1.50 for 3 successful outing once we lost we start all over again with just one unit from the beginning.


Rolling Treble:

1a. Reid vs Neustadt, Pick Reid DNB @ 1.20......Stake one unit

GL

Good Luck

Good leap but still not a winner until we win the following 2 consecutive stake...

Nizzze start

Our Rolling Treble today goes to Finland, and our selection there is Honka


1b) Rolling Treble


Honka vs Jaro


Jaro at away this season vesus bottom half table W1 D1 L2

Also kept zero clean sheet in those four games, score 7 goals then conceded 8 goals...


The h2h record for this fixture is 9-3-0 at home for Honka in the last 12 games


HONKA[10th] are 4-4-2 at home this season and In one of those 2 home defeats HONKA were level at 0-0 until losing a player and conceding a penalty in the same incident after which they lost 2-0.


Also Honka only lost once at home in the last 6 games at home while Jaro only win once at away in the last 6 games


Stake 1.20pt (Total winning money yesterday) on the Honka +1 (Handicap) @ 1.60 with MerryBet.com


GL